Iran-US Tensions: The 29% Probability Pricing a Crypto Black Swan
The data point lands like a knife: 29%. That’s the prediction market’s curren...
Stablecoins
•
CryptoRover
•
2026-07-27
Market Prices
BTC
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$63,426.4
-2.25%
ETH
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$1,879.96
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$73.24
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$567.5
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XRP Ledger
$1.05
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DOGE
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ADA
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AVAX
Avalanche
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DOT
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$0.7625
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LINK
Chainlink
$8.31
-4.72%
Event Calendar
202615
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
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💡 Smart Money
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Early Investor
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73%
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Institutional Custody
+$0.7M
81%
0xc137...2fb7
Arbitrage Bot
+$0.5M
63%
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29
Fear
Market Sentiment
Altseason Index
44
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Market Cap
All →| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$63,426.4 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$1,879.96 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$73.24 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$567.5 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.05 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0700 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1578 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$6.47 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.7625 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$8.31 |
🐋 Whale Tracker
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