#polymarket

Fanatics, the sports merchandise juggernaut, just announced it’s entering...

Tracing the ghost in the blockchain’s memory, I find a peculiar tremor this...

Hook One million agentic transactions. Sounds impressive. But without a...

On May 21, a single data point on Polymarket told a story of cold, rational...

Over the past 48 hours, a single prediction market on Polymarket has priced a...

The ledger remembers what the interface forgets. On Polymarket, the contract...

I didn't need to read the Iranian military statement. The numbers already tol...

Over the past 7 days, a single criterion from S&P Global has shifted the...

Here is the data: since January 2024, prediction markets have seen a 500%...

Over the past 72 hours, the Polymarket contract for a bilateral US-Iran meeti...

Hook On July 23, 2024, a single decimal on a Polymarket contract flashed 72.5...

On July 15, the Hormozgan governor issued a terse statement: no attack, no...

Over the past eight weeks, I've watched POLY futures trade with a volatility...

Hook Yesterday, as news broke of a strike on a U.S. air base in Jordan, a qui...

Over 194,000 addresses fought for World Cup predictions on Polymarket. The...

Polymarket, the decentralized prediction market that has weathered CFTC fines...

The data point is clean. Too clean. Spain’s probability of beating Argentina ...

The final whistle of the 2026 World Cup final had barely echoed before a...

Q2 2026 prediction market volume hit $113.8 billion—a 48.7% surge...

On July 22, a Polymarket contract spiked to 60.5% probability that Iran would...

Hook Over the past 72 hours, Polymarket’s “Iran strikes US military targets i...

On August 13, 2026, a single contract on Polymarket will expire. It asks: "Wi...

Hook: A Metric Anomaly Buried in a Prediction Market Polymarket’s “Iran Nucle...

A C-RAM system activated over Erbil yesterday. A burst of kinetic energy. A...

The prediction market contract for Ralph Norman’s Senate bid carries a...

I didn’t expect to spend a Tuesday morning scrolling through Polymarket while...

The US State Department issued a worldwide caution for the Middle East...

On July 22, a prediction market contract on Polymarket priced the probability...

France’s first-choice goalkeeper, Mike Maignan, let in six goals against Ital...

On May 21, 2024, a single data point crossed my screen: Ralph Norman’s...

I watched the silence break the noise of 2021. Back then, it was the roar of...

To measure the future is to hold a mirror to our collective fear and hope. Ye...

Signal detected. At 14:32 UTC, Israeli jets struck Hezbollah positions in...

The ledger remembers what the market forgets. As I sit in my Tallinn office,...

The Strait of Hormuz Oracle: When Geopolitical Wagers Reveal Crypto's Blind...

The chart just broke. Polymarket traders are now pricing a 23.5% probability...

Hook Polymarket shows a 28.5% probability of a US military strike on Iranian...

Chaos is just liquidity waiting for a narrative. But when the narrative itsel...

Hook The oracle feed states: a 25.5% probability that a U.S.-Iran agreement...

The data shows that as of last week, a decentralized prediction market assign...

At 14:32 UTC yesterday, Polymarket’s contract for "Iran airspace closure by...

Iran hit Saudi soil for the first time in months. On Polymarket, the...

Explosions at US Fifth Fleet HQ: Crypto Markets React as Prediction Market...

Data shows a 53.5% probability on Polymarket that Iran will take military...

The ledger does not lie. On July 22, 2025, the probability of an Iranian...

Hook Consider that a single number—25.5%—has become the most audited piece of...

The number flashed on my screen at 3:47 AM Sydney time: 24%. That was the...

On March 8, 2025, Polymarket logged a probability of 27.5% for a U.S. militar...

The headline reads: Iran rejects U.S. parallel corridor proposal. Prediction...

The number hit my screen at six in the morning Lagos time — a flat, cold 36%....